Novel-Nondisclosure
0x004c832cb3af8ee0771fdf5fc3d494fe8ca2bb89
Novel-Nondisclosure: +$103K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 76%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$103K
return +62.0%
Settled bets
12
$167K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 76%–100%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$35K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$69K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | BUY Henrique Rocha
@ 48¢
Porto 2: Henrique Rocha vs Inaki Montes |
Porto 2: Henrique Rocha vs Inaki Montes | $2.9K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Vitaliy Sachko
@ 73¢
Bari: Vitaliy Sachko vs Samuele Pieri |
Bari: Vitaliy Sachko vs Samuele Pieri | $5.8K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Vitaliy Sachko
@ 73¢
Bari: Vitaliy Sachko vs Samuele Pieri |
Bari: Vitaliy Sachko vs Samuele Pieri | $28K |
| Oct 2 | SELL Martin Krumich
@ 69¢
Bari: Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich |
Bari: Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich | $11K |
| Oct 2 | BUY Novak Djokovic
@ 58¢
China Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak Djokovic |
China Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak Djokovic | $3.2K |
| Oct 1 | SELL Jacob Fearnley
@ 32¢
Porto 2: Inaki Montes vs Jacob Fearnley |
Porto 2: Inaki Montes vs Jacob Fearnley | $5.7K |
| Oct 1 | SELL Jacob Fearnley
@ 42¢
Porto 2: Inaki Montes vs Jacob Fearnley |
Porto 2: Inaki Montes vs Jacob Fearnley | $12K |
| Sep 28 | SELL Michael Geerts
@ 59¢
Porto 2: Michael Geerts vs Joao Domingues |
Porto 2: Michael Geerts vs Joao Domingues | $1.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.