Polymarket market · Sports
Erste Bank Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Alex de Minaur
Resolved: Alex de Minaur won · See it on Polymarket ↗
13 whales traded $68K on this market since Oct 30, 51% of their buying on Alex de Minaur. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 2.3¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Alex de Minaur won, with 51% of the whale buying on it. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$9.7K and 3 lost −$16K: −$6.5K between them. Biggest win: Zigzag-Aardvark, +$1.8K on Alex de Minaur. Biggest loss: Hollow-Maggot-Sense, −$8.8K on Matteo Berrettini.
The whales on this market
13 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Snappy-Basketball
371 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $22K | — |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,516 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Matteo Berrettini @ 18¢ | $8.8K | — | −$8.8K |
| Naughty-Tab
163 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alex de Minaur @ 96¢ | $5.4K | $2.6K | — |
| Limited-Dragonfruit
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Matteo Berrettini @ 35¢ | $5.4K | — | −$5.4K |
| Quirky-Woodchuck-Overload
66 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alex de Minaur @ 54¢ | $2.0K | $3.5K | +$1.5K |
| Glaring-Salt
2,170 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alex de Minaur @ 68¢ | $3.5K | — | +$1.7K |
| Monstrous-Dew
517 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alex de Minaur @ 68¢ | $2.9K | — | +$1.4K |
| Zigzag-Aardvark
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alex de Minaur @ 60¢ | $2.7K | — | +$1.8K |
| Giant-Window
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alex de Minaur @ 64¢ | $2.4K | — | +$1.4K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
5,460 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Matteo Berrettini @ 37¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| Sweltering-Copyright
10 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.9K | — |
| Adolescent-Apse
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alex de Minaur @ 60¢ | $1.8K | — | +$1.2K |
| Ignorant-Shaw-Ego
159 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alex de Minaur @ 62¢ | $1.4K | — | +$858 |
Where the whale money went
-
Alex de Minaur won$20K51% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $27K sold
-
Matteo Berrettini lost$19K49% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $2.6K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 30, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793430041).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devils vs. Golden Knights | $102K | 3 | Won: Devils | |
| Curitiba: Francesca Jones vs Nauhany Leme Da Silva | $75K | 12 | Won: Nauhany Leme Da Silva | |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nuno Borges | $287K | 14 | Won: Jan-Lennard Struff | |
| Spread: Rockets (-6.5) | $55K | 6 | Won: Mavericks | |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Jerome Kym vs Jiri Lehecka | $70K | 15 | Won: Jiri Lehecka | |
| Spread: Knicks (-3.5) | $309K | 4 | Won: 76ers | |
| Spread: Pistons (-7.5) | $96K | 13 | Won: Pistons | |
| Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5 | $58K | 5 | Won: Over |