Polymarket market · Sports

Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva

Resolved: Francisca Jorge won · See it on Polymarket ↗

10 whales put $121K into this market since Sep 17, 83% of their buying on Francisca Jorge. Francisca Jorge won. Of the 8 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$49K and 1 lost −$2.0K: +$47K between them.

The whales on this market

10 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Vivid-Ski
5 settled bets Too few bets
Francisca Jorge @ 70¢ $68K — +$30K
Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
427 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Francisca Jorge @ 43¢ $37K — +$7.9K
Harmless-Region
179 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Francisca Jorge @ 67¢ $2.3K — +$1.2K
Scary-Edible
1,378 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Francisca Jorge @ 46¢ $2.3K — +$2.7K
Welcome-Revenue
215 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Francisca Jorge @ 46¢ $2.3K — +$2.7K
Slow-Escape
336 settled bets Beat the odds*
Francisca Jorge @ 46¢ $2.3K — +$2.7K
Flawed-Infinite
200 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva @ 39¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Wooden-Breath
74 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.9K —
Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds*
Francisca Jorge @ 46¢ $1.6K — +$1.9K
Cavernous-Undershirt
65 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Francisca Jorge won
    $98K
    83% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $1.9K sold
  2. Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva lost
    $20K
    17% of whale buying · 2 buyers
  3. Francisca Jorge lost
    $0
    0% of whale buying · 0 buyers · $1.0K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 17, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed