Polymarket market · Sports
Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Lilli Tagger
Resolved: Ann Li won · See it on Polymarket ↗
9 whales traded $136K on this market since Oct 22, 74% of their buying on Lilli Tagger. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 4.7¢ less per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Ann Li won, with 26% of the whale buying on it. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 2 made +$1.5K and 5 lost −$31K: −$29K between them. Biggest win: Favorable-Pepper-Brushing, +$969 on Ann Li. Biggest loss: Embellished-Lecture, −$15K on Lilli Tagger.
The whales on this market
9 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quixotic-Brow
203 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Ann Li @ 58¢ | $3.9K | $84K | — |
| Embellished-Lecture
59 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Lilli Tagger @ 45¢ | $15K | — | −$15K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,764 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Lilli Tagger @ 39¢ | $14K | — | −$10K |
| Pointless-Illustration
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Ann Li @ 90¢ | $4.5K | $3.1K | +$488 |
| Sturdy-Overheard
16 settled bets Too few bets |
Lilli Tagger @ 66¢ | $3.7K | $1.5K | — |
| Scary-Edible
1,542 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Lilli Tagger @ 30¢ | $2.4K | — | −$2.4K |
| Each-Cenotaph
52 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Lilli Tagger @ 44¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,197 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Ann Li @ 62¢ | $1.6K | — | +$969 |
| Favorite-Cave-Muscat
63 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Lilli Tagger @ 23¢ | $1.1K | — | −$1.1K |
Where the whale money went
-
Lilli Tagger lost$36K74% of whale buying · 6 buyers
-
Ann Li won$12K26% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $88K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 22 to Oct 23, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792825211).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | $1.07M | 88 | Won: Thunder | |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | $231K | 21 | Won: Thunder | |
| Hurricanes vs. Oilers | $90K | 8 | Won: Oilers | |
| Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger | $60K | 7 | Won: Ashlyn Krueger | |
| Patriots vs. Bears | $886K | 34 | Won: Bears | |
| Spread: Bears (-2.5) | $84K | 13 | Won: Bears | |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) | $76K | 10 | Won: Bears | |
| Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 50.5 | $74K | 13 | Won: Over |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?