Polymarket market · Sports
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger
Resolved: Ashlyn Krueger won · See it on Polymarket ↗
7 whales traded $60K on this market since Oct 22, 64% of their buying on Talia Gibson. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 5.4¢ more per share, with 86% of the size there to buy. Ashlyn Krueger won, with 36% of the whale buying on it. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$4.8K and 3 lost −$38K: −$34K between them. Biggest win: Gleeful-Cauliflower, +$2.5K on Ashlyn Krueger. Biggest loss: Substantial-Service, −$28K on Talia Gibson.
The whales on this market
7 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Substantial-Service
964 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Talia Gibson @ 42¢ | $28K | — | −$28K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,764 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Ashlyn Krueger @ 82¢ | $11K | — | +$2.5K |
| Sardonic-Hub
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Talia Gibson @ 21¢ | $8.2K | — | −$8.2K |
| Pointless-Illustration
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Ashlyn Krueger @ 98¢ | $6.0K | — | +$122 |
| Quixotic-Brow
203 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Ashlyn Krueger @ 58¢ | $2.9K | — | +$2.1K |
| Mealy-Eggnog
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Talia Gibson @ 42¢ | $2.5K | — | −$2.5K |
| Rash-Night
13 settled bets Too few bets |
Ashlyn Krueger @ 99¢ | $1.2K | — | +$16 |
Where the whale money went
-
Talia Gibson lost$38K64% of whale buying · 3 buyers
-
Ashlyn Krueger won$22K36% of whale buying · 4 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 22 to Oct 23, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792825211).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Lilli Tagger | $136K | 9 | Won: Ann Li | |
| Guangzhou 2: Yi Zhou vs Andre Ilagan | $90K | 4 | Won: Yi Zhou | |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | $1.07M | 88 | Won: Thunder | |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | $231K | 21 | Won: Thunder | |
| Hurricanes vs. Oilers | $90K | 8 | Won: Oilers | |
| Patriots vs. Bears | $886K | 34 | Won: Bears | |
| Spread: Bears (-2.5) | $84K | 13 | Won: Bears | |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) | $76K | 10 | Won: Bears |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?