Polymarket market · Sports
Spread: Bears (-2.5)
Resolved: Bears won · See it on Polymarket ↗
13 whales traded $84K on this market since Oct 22, 95% of their buying on Bears. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 0.4¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Bears won, with 95% of the whale buying on it. Of the 13 whales whose whole position we captured, 11 made +$66K and 2 lost −$4.3K: +$62K between them. Biggest win: Homely-Gosling, +$29K on Bears. Biggest loss: Sticky-Pepper, −$2.9K on Patriots.
The whales on this market
13 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Homely-Gosling
26 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Bears @ 54¢ | $34K | — | +$29K |
| Mixed-Silo-Dream
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Bears @ 54¢ | $20K | — | +$17K |
| Magnificent-Sister
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Bears @ 55¢ | $11K | — | +$9.0K |
| Bite-Sized-Strawberry
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Bears @ 55¢ | $5.5K | — | +$4.5K |
| Sticky-Pepper
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Patriots @ 46¢ | $2.9K | — | −$2.9K |
| Best-Jogging
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Bears @ 54¢ | $1.6K | — | +$1.4K |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,347 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Patriots @ 41¢ | $1.4K | — | −$1.4K |
| Imperturbable-Counter
101 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Bears @ 55¢ | $1.4K | — | +$1.1K |
| Energetic-Patriarch
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Bears @ 55¢ | $1.4K | — | +$1.1K |
| Lustrous-Battery
7 settled bets Too few bets |
Bears @ 90¢ | $1.3K | — | +$149 |
| Misguided-Sock
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Bears @ 55¢ | $1.3K | — | +$1.1K |
| Incomplete-Suppression-Theory
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Bears @ 54¢ | $1.0K | — | +$852 |
| Terrible-Notice
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Bears @ 54¢ | $1.0K | — | +$852 |
Where the whale money went
-
Bears won$80K95% of whale buying · 11 buyers
-
Patriots lost$4.3K5% of whale buying · 2 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 22 to Oct 23, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792825211).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots vs. Bears | $886K | 34 | Won: Bears | |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) | $76K | 10 | Won: Bears | |
| Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 50.5 | $74K | 13 | Won: Over | |
| Hurricanes vs. Oilers | $90K | 8 | Won: Oilers | |
| Cavaliers vs. 76ers | $1.25M | 91 | Won: 76ers | |
| Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5 | $67K | 8 | Won: Under | |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | $231K | 21 | Won: Thunder | |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | $1.07M | 88 | Won: Thunder |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?