Neat-Harbour
Skill vs luck
Neat-Harbour on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit −$322. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Neat-Harbour: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x61ea83757d03ad51fb01bcedc7f69d623960bbf7. Data CC BY 4.0.
Neat-Harbour: −$322 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$878
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$1.2K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Yes @ 37¢ | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? ↗ | $1.1K |
| Sep 11 | BUY Yes @ 20¢ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? ↗ | $1.2K |
| Sep 2 | BUY Yes @ 43¢ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? ↗ | $1.5K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?