Flowery-Min
Skill vs luck
Flowery-Min on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 33% (95% range 6%–79%) · profit −$1.5K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Flowery-Min: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x60c6ad7e43cb23b5209d7eddf9386c508285247f. Data CC BY 4.0.
Flowery-Min: −$1.5K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$1.8K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$294
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY No @ 50¢ | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? ↗ | $3.0K |
| Sep 14 | SELL Yes @ 49¢ | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? ↗ | $1.4K |
| Sep 9 | BUY No
@ 14¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 9? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 9? | $1.1K |
| Aug 31 | BUY Yes @ 11¢ | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August? ↗ | $1.8K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?