Polymarket market · Other

Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

14 whales put $58K into this market since Aug 31, 71% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 6 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$15K and 3 lost −$4.3K: +$11K between them.

The whales on this market

14 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Trivial-Ravioli
228 settled bets Worse than the odds
No @ 97¢ $1.0K $14K —
Menacing-Tattler-Tugboat
10 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 47¢ $8.7K — +$9.8K
Separate-Collaboration
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $7.5K —
Bouncy-Custom
16 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $5.8K —
Careful-Bunch
77 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.8K —
Fancy-Theft-Mainland
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 41¢ $3.2K — +$4.6K
0xc241…519c
18 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.7K —
Useless-Watcher
6 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.2K —
Crowded-Jackal
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.1K —
Fake-Bitter
995 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 88¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K
Narrow-Authorization
57 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 80¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Heartfelt-Subroutine
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.4K —
Mean-Recruit-Idea
68 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 69¢ $1.2K — +$554
Illustrious-Exwife
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 59¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $13K
    71% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $21K sold
  2. No lost
    $4.3K
    24% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $19K sold
  3. No lost
    $1.0K
    6% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 31 to Sep 13, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed