Fancy-Theft-Mainland
0x95612da9045d3e97fb5adc9ab779f427df5ad255
Fancy-Theft-Mainland: −$9.4K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$9.4K
return −23.4%
Settled bets
3
$40K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 21%–94%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$20K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$11K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19 | BUY Arman Tsarukyan
@ 74¢
UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) |
UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | $17K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Yes
@ 41¢
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open? |
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | $3.2K |
| Aug 26 | BUY Umar Nurmagomedov
@ 82¢
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card) |
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card) | $20K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.