0x1d4a…46f5
Skill vs luck
0x1d4a…46f5 on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 100% (95% range 21%–100%) · profit +$2.2K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −7.7% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 17, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “0x1d4a…46f5: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 17, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x1d4affdc390c00991acf70f6e010c9702b2d46f5. Data CC BY 4.0.
0x1d4a…46f5: +$2.2K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 2 – Oct 17
- +$2.2K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | SELL No
@ 32¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October? |
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October? | $1.4K |
| Oct 9 | SELL No
@ 31¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October? |
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October? | $2.2K |
| Oct 8 | BUY No
@ 10¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October? |
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October? | $1.4K |
| Oct 2 | BUY No @ 15¢ | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? ↗ | $1.9K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?