Well-To-Do-Sanctity
0xd1436fd149ffe4ec20f385ecf91b55e54a8f83ec
Well-To-Do-Sanctity: −$5.2K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 16%–75%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$5.2K
return −31.9%
Settled bets
7
$16K staked
Won
42.9%
95% range 16%–75%
Mostly bets on
crypto
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$3.9K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$9.8K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$701
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | SELL Yes
@ 36¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 5-11? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 5-11? | $2.2K |
| Oct 5 | SELL Yes
@ 12¢
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 5-11? |
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 5-11? | $1.1K |
| Oct 5 | SELL Yes
@ 39¢
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? |
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? | $11K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Yes
@ 51¢
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? |
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? | $6.2K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Yes
@ 48¢
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? |
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? | $7.2K |
| Oct 4 | SELL Yes
@ 33¢
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? |
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? | $5.2K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Yes
@ 34¢
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? |
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? | $6.4K |
| Oct 2 | BUY Yes
@ 16¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 28-October 4? |
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 28-October 4? | $1.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.