Feisty-Jelly

0x8cc8560dfbd3b39a7aee6d1209876ebad9f1f1b3

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Feisty-Jelly: −$399 on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 44% (95% range 19%–73%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$399
return −4.4%
Settled bets
9
$9.0K staked
Won
44.4%
95% range 19%–73%
Mostly bets on
crypto

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$2.0K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$1.3K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$335
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 27 BUY No @ 75¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? $1.0K
Sep 23 BUY Yes @ 98¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 23?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 23? $3.0K
Sep 21 SELL No @ 97¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? $1.4K
Sep 21 BUY No @ 54¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? $1.0K
Sep 17 BUY No @ 81¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? $2.0K
Sep 16 SELL Yes @ 97¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16? $1.7K
Sep 13 SELL No @ 99.72¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 7-13?
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 7-13? $2.0K
Sep 13 SELL No @ 99.01¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 7-13?
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 7-13? $2.4K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed