Fearless-Wasabi

0x78cdf08a701e840dc35359823aabf157c64f450c

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Fearless-Wasabi: −$1.2K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.2K
return −100.0%
Settled bets
1
$1.2K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–79%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$1.2K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 12 BUY Yes @ 0.78¢
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $1.2K
Sep 12 SELL Yes @ 49¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $1.3K
Sep 8 BUY Yes @ 42¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $1.1K

All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed