Ripe-Aquarium
0x183f8b17cfb09c9115d068b2da3033b54f4c85e3
Ripe-Aquarium: −$11K on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 39% (95% range 18%–65%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$11K
return −42.2%
Settled bets
13
$27K staked
Won
38.5%
95% range 18%–65%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 13 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$816
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$350
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$12K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY GAM Esports
@ 28¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $1.3K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Team Liquid
@ 47¢
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C |
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C | $4.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 73¢
LoL: LGD Gaming vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: LGD Gaming vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Sinners
@ 39¢
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NIP (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NIP (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Luminosity
@ 43¢
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs | $4.3K |
| Oct 2 | BUY EDward Gaming
@ 29¢
Valorant: Global Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B |
Valorant: Global Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B | $2.3K |
| Oct 1 | BUY XLG Gaming
@ 15¢
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D |
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D | $1.1K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Luminosity
@ 44¢
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs | $1.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.