Jaunty-Deduce-Fit

0xb63d2c013589f469350d55d9fce81b47243f239f

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Jaunty-Deduce-Fit: +$199 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 83% (95% range 44%–97%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$199
return +1.9%
Settled bets
6
$10K staked
Won
83.3%
95% range 44%–97%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$2
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$85
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$115
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY Paper Rex @ 99.85¢
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner $1.6K
Oct 5 BUY Team Vitality @ 99.7¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage $2.1K
Oct 3 BUY G2 Esports @ 99¢
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winner
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winner $1.4K
Oct 1 BUY Nongshim RedForce @ 98¢
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D $4.4K
Sep 5 BUY BERG @ 94¢
Valorant: Glacial Guardians vs BERG - Map 2 Winner
Valorant: Glacial Guardians vs BERG - Map 2 Winner $1.1K
Sep 4 BUY Glacial Guardians @ 99¢
Valorant: Glacial Guardians vs SGE Vision (BO3) - THE POKAL Playoffs
Valorant: Glacial Guardians vs SGE Vision (BO3) - THE POKAL Playoffs $1.3K
Aug 24 SELL Evil Geniuses GC @ 99.9¢
Valorant: Evil Geniuses GC vs 7VEN STARS - Map 2 Winner
Valorant: Evil Geniuses GC vs 7VEN STARS - Map 2 Winner $2.0K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed