Shabby-Crate
0x09cc4da8a3e39237aa74b445a300565e33d0421a
Shabby-Crate: −$1.2K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$1.2K
return −104.4%
Settled bets
3
$1.2K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 6%–79%
Mostly bets on
crypto
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$1.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | BUY Yes
@ 34¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | $1.1K |
| Sep 21 | BUY No
@ 69¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | $1.1K |
| Sep 21 | BUY Yes
@ 53¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | $1.2K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Yes
@ 37¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | $1.3K |
| Aug 30 | SELL No
@ 93¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? |
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | $3.9K |
| Aug 27 | BUY No
@ 74¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? |
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | $1.2K |
| Aug 23 | SELL No
@ 60¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? |
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | $1.8K |
| Aug 20 | SELL No
@ 98¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? | $8.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.