Polymarket market · Other

Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

5 whales put $56K into this market since Sep 25, 54% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 5 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$8.9K and 2 lost −$26K: −$17K between them.

The whales on this market

5 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
0x361b…74fe
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 42¢ $24K — −$24K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,484 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 82¢ $21K — +$4.6K
Perky-Porch
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 63¢ $6.5K — +$3.8K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 82¢ $2.7K — +$582
Miserable-Poison
1,032 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 42¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $30K
    54% of whale buying · 3 buyers
  2. Yes lost
    $26K
    46% of whale buying · 2 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 25 to Sep 27, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

More other markets the whales bet on

All Other →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
No one announced as next James Bond? $92K 12 Open
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs 3DMAX (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs $56K 8 Won: GamerLegion
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs $63K 6 Won: Team Nemesis
Minnesota vs. Washington $220K 24 Won: Minnesota
Georgia Tech vs. Stanford $94K 13 Won: Stanford
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? $54K 15 Open
Rice vs. Fresno State $113K 6 Won: Fresno State
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September? $81K 10 Won: No
About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed