Polymarket market · Other

Spread: Oregon (-3.5)

Resolved: Oregon won · See it on Polymarket ↗

8 whales put $63K into this market since Sep 23, 50% of their buying on USC. Oregon won. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$29K and 4 lost −$29K: −$142 between them.

The whales on this market

8 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Well-Documented-Outrigger
118 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Oregon @ 51¢ $24K — +$24K
Short-Term-Valance
107 settled bets Can't tell from luck
USC @ 50¢ $14K — −$14K
Rude-Pickaxe
13 settled bets Beat the odds*
USC @ 50¢ $12K — −$12K
0xe98c…8792
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $4.8K —
Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds*
Oregon @ 41¢ $2.3K — +$3.3K
0x2f98…bd4c
6 settled bets Too few bets
Oregon @ 51¢ $2.1K — +$2.0K
Valuable-Animal
83 settled bets Beat the odds*
USC @ 52¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Agitated-Bricklaying
491 settled bets Can't tell from luck
USC @ 54¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K

Where the whale money went

  1. USC lost
    $29K
    50% of whale buying · 4 buyers
  2. Oregon won
    $29K
    50% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $4.8K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 23 to Sep 27, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed