Vast-Dictator-Borrower
Skill vs luck
Vast-Dictator-Borrower on Polymarket: 5 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 57%–100%) · profit +$3.4K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Vast-Dictator-Borrower: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xf83287d5daec09270742fb27e800e5eba1039522. Data CC BY 4.0.
Vast-Dictator-Borrower: +$3.4K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 57%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 5 – Sep 22
- +$2.0K
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$1.4K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Aaron Pico @ 58¢ | UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims) ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 18 | BUY Mandel Nallo
@ 73¢
UFC Fight Night: Nate Landwehr vs. Mandel Nallo (Lightweight, Main Card) |
UFC Fight Night: Nate Landwehr vs. Mandel Nallo (Lightweight, Main Card) | $1.5K |
| Sep 13 | BUY Garcia @ 72¢ | Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main) ↗ | $2.7K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Yousri Belgaroui
@ 89¢
Noche UFC: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Djorden Santos (Middleweight, Prelims) |
Noche UFC: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Djorden Santos (Middleweight, Prelims) | $1.5K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Yousri Belgaroui
@ 89¢
Noche UFC: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Djorden Santos (Middleweight, Prelims) |
Noche UFC: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Djorden Santos (Middleweight, Prelims) | $1.5K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Daniil Donchenko
@ 68¢
UFC Fight Night: Punahele Soriano vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Main Card) |
UFC Fight Night: Punahele Soriano vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Main Card) | $1.3K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?