Experienced-Jaw
Skill vs luck
Experienced-Jaw on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–66%) · profit −$1.0K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 21, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Experienced-Jaw: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 21, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x3a5c9ef58cd3997556b9868a3ab1dcb219b83469. Data CC BY 4.0.
Experienced-Jaw: −$1.0K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 5 – Oct 21
- −$1.0K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20 | BUY Yes @ 47¢ | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20? ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 15 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-10-15? |
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-10-15? | $1.5K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?