Live-Accommodation
Skill vs luck
Live-Accommodation on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 34%–100%) · profit +$20K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 21, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Live-Accommodation: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 21, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x38891af2ad2f103ab8dc896c0243d2646deffe34. Data CC BY 4.0.
Live-Accommodation: +$20K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 5 – Oct 21
- +$20K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20 | BUY Over @ 63¢ | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 ↗ | $6.3K |
| Oct 20 | BUY Over @ 63¢ | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 ↗ | $6.3K |
| Oct 20 | BUY Over @ 63¢ | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 ↗ | $4.4K |
| Oct 20 | BUY Over @ 63¢ | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 ↗ | $6.3K |
| Oct 20 | BUY Over @ 63¢ | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 ↗ | $6.3K |
| Oct 20 | BUY Over
@ 44¢
Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 3.5 |
Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 3.5 | $2.2K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?