Polymarket market · Other

Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-10-10?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

5 whales put $88K into this market since Oct 10, 66% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 5 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$53K and 1 lost −$30K: +$23K between them.

The whales on this market

5 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Glass-Supper
55 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 49¢ $30K — −$30K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 52¢ $30K — +$27K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,484 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 52¢ $26K — +$24K
Scary-Edible
1,378 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 51¢ $1.3K — +$1.2K
Infamous-Ocelot
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 52¢ $1.1K — +$983

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $58K
    66% of whale buying · 4 buyers
  2. Yes lost
    $30K
    34% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 10, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed