Polymarket market · Other

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

7 whales put $61K into this market since Oct 8, 100% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 5 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$258 and 0 lost $0: +$258 between them.

The whales on this market

7 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Unripe-Whisker
71 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99.55¢ $36K — +$163
Capital-Melody-Meatball
5 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 99.55¢ $5.0K $5.8K —
Peppery-Capital
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99.9¢ $5.1K — +$5
Impure-Contingency
6 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 98¢ $2.9K — +$59
Calm-Dusk
7 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.7K —
Attached-Pump
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99¢ $1.5K — +$21
Cheerful-Ephemera
56 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99.2¢ $1.2K — +$10

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $52K
    100% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $8.6K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 8 to Oct 10, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed