Polymarket market · Other

Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

16 whales traded $64K on this market since Oct 24, 60% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 5.1¢ more per share, with 92% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 40% of the whale buying on it. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$3.9K and 7 lost −$31K: −$27K between them. Biggest win: Terrific-Retention, +$3.2K on Yes. Biggest loss: Aggressive-Shelf-Gong, −$20K on No.

The whales on this market

16 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Aggressive-Shelf-Gong
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 91¢ $32K $1.1K −$20K
Rusty-Fava
4 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 99.9¢ $7.3K — −$2.8K
Perfect-Variability
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 96¢ $4.6K — +$194
Colorless-Fantasy
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 75¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Small-Blowhole
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 70¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Identical-Speed
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.9K —
Positive-Igloo
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.8K —
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
17 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.7K —
Helpless-Sandwich
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 66¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Needy-Glass
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 72¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Subdued-Soundness
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.4K —
Terrific-Retention
10 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 30¢ $1.3K — +$3.2K
Cheerful-Nibble-Head
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 64¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Unwitting-Jaw
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 69¢ $1.2K — +$537
Firsthand-Booster
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Candid-Lighting
6 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No lost
    $33K
    60% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $5.1K sold
  2. Yes won
    $22K
    40% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $5.1K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 24 to Oct 30, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793516413).

More other markets the whales bet on

All Other →
About this data · run 1793516413, computed 2026-11-01 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793516413 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed