Positive-Igloo
Skill vs luck
Positive-Igloo on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 0% (95% range 0%–79%) · profit −$1.3K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Positive-Igloo: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x26e6a3855698f6f31ff3cec125cb3d0788413411. Data CC BY 4.0.
Positive-Igloo: −$1.3K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 18 – Nov 2
- −$1.3K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | SELL Yes @ 59¢ | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? ↗ | $1.8K |
All 1 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.