Firsthand-Booster
Skill vs luck
Firsthand-Booster on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 75% (95% range 30%–95%) · profit +$1.3K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Firsthand-Booster: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xd7eee5e918dc59fa32386a4ad8a89655946e9597. Data CC BY 4.0.
Firsthand-Booster: +$1.3K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 18 – Nov 2
- +$1.3K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | SELL No @ 94¢ | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 30 | BUY Yes @ 99¢ | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M? ↗ | $7.6K |
| Oct 30 | BUY Yes @ 99¢ | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M? ↗ | $2.7K |
| Oct 30 | BUY Yes
@ 99.76¢
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M? |
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M? | $2.9K |
| Oct 30 | BUY Yes
@ 99¢
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M? |
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M? | $1.8K |
| Oct 29 | SELL No @ 99.8¢ | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? ↗ | $10K |
| Oct 28 | BUY No @ 43¢ | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | $2.1K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.