Aggressive-Shelf-Gong
Skill vs luck
Aggressive-Shelf-Gong on Polymarket: 5 settled bets · won 80% (95% range 38%–96%) · profit −$19K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 31, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Aggressive-Shelf-Gong: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 31, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x40eced89720832bac3ea204192bd6dec7d7d2b4c. Data CC BY 4.0.
Aggressive-Shelf-Gong: −$19K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 80% (95% range 38%–96%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 16 – Oct 31
- −$19K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | BUY Yes @ 93¢ | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? ↗ | $10K |
| Oct 30 | BUY No @ 96¢ | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? ↗ | $12K |
| Oct 30 | BUY No @ 90¢ | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? ↗ | $8.0K |
| Oct 30 | SELL Yes
@ 70¢
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? |
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? | $1.2K |
| Oct 30 | SELL Yes
@ 72¢
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? |
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? | $1.1K |
| Oct 30 | BUY Yes
@ 71¢
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? |
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? | $3.0K |
| Oct 30 | SELL Yes @ 97¢ | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M? ↗ | $9.6K |
| Oct 30 | BUY Yes @ 96¢ | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M? ↗ | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.