Terrific-Retention

0xef1850721d49a5abddd6ecf37bd03b61e443158b

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Terrific-Retention: +$6.1K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 63% (95% range 31%–86%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$6.1K
return +17.9%
Settled bets
8
$34K staked
Won
62.5%
95% range 31%–86%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$1.5K
Sep 6 – Sep 24
+$2.2K
Sep 24 – Oct 12
+$5.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 11 BUY Vitality @ 65¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs $9.8K
Oct 8 SELL Sangal @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: OG vs Sangal (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Play-In
Counter-Strike: OG vs Sangal (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Play-In $4.1K
Sep 24 BUY Nemiga @ 65¢
Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs Just Players (+1.5)
Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs Just Players (+1.5) $3.0K
Sep 23 BUY paiN @ 62¢
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group A
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group A $3.0K
Sep 18 BUY MOUZ @ 66¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs $4.9K
Sep 17 BUY Vitality @ 87¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs magic - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs magic - Map 2 Winner $6.9K
Sep 15 BUY G2 Ares @ 40¢
Counter-Strike: Brute vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Brute vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage $4.8K
Aug 26 BUY Aurora Gaming @ 48¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A $1.5K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed