Polymarket market · Sports

Spread: Lions (-6.5)

Resolved: Lions won · See it on Polymarket ↗

10 whales put $596K into this market since Sep 24, 86% of their buying on Jets. Lions won. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$76K and 6 lost −$515K: −$439K between them.

The whales on this market

10 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds*
Jets @ 48¢ $282K — −$282K
Blushing-Salsa
9 settled bets Too few bets
Jets @ 49¢ $200K — −$200K
Flaky-Campaign
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lions @ 52¢ $59K — +$55K
Unwieldy-Supporter
434 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lions @ 51¢ $20K — +$19K
Agitated-Bricklaying
493 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jets @ 49¢ $16K — −$16K
Fake-Bitter
1,081 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jets @ 48¢ $15K — −$15K
Unkempt-Image
108 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jets @ 49¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Overlooked-Wetsuit
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lions @ 50¢ $1.1K — +$1.1K
Uneven-Wild
4 settled bets Too few bets
Lions @ 52¢ $1.0K — +$960
Useless-Premier
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jets @ 49¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Jets lost
    $511K
    86% of whale buying · 6 buyers
  2. Lions won
    $81K
    14% of whale buying · 4 buyers
  3. Jets lost
    $3.3K
    1% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 24 to Sep 27, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed