Polymarket market · Other

Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-10-21?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

5 whales traded $57K on this market since Oct 21, 53% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 9 minutes later would have cost 1.9¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 47% of the whale buying on it. Of the 5 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$28K and 1 lost −$30K: −$2.5K between them. Biggest win: Gleeful-Cauliflower, +$16K on Yes. Biggest loss: Clueless-Millet-Medicine, −$30K on No.

The whales on this market

5 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Clueless-Millet-Medicine
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 49¢ $30K — −$30K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,617 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 49¢ $16K — +$16K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,438 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 49¢ $5.9K — +$6.2K
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,300 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 47¢ $2.7K — +$3.0K
Scary-Edible
1,516 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 49¢ $2.5K — +$2.6K

Where the whale money went

  1. No lost
    $30K
    53% of whale buying · 1 buyer
  2. Yes won
    $27K
    47% of whale buying · 4 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 21 to Oct 22, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792652408).

About this data · run 1792652408, computed 2026-10-22 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792652408 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed