Polymarket market · Other

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-19?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

7 whales put $50K into this market since Sep 19, 53% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 6 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$7.6K and 3 lost −$15K: −$7.8K between them.

The whales on this market

7 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 60¢ $33K — −$13K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 50¢ $6.6K — +$6.5K
Probable-Hypothesis
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 55¢ $3.0K $1.0K −$354
Plastic-Pet
79 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.6K —
Careful-Noir-Equinox
121 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 48¢ $1.8K — −$1.8K
Foolish-Mango
222 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 61¢ $1.6K — +$1.0K
Scary-Edible
1,330 settled bets Beat the odds*
No @ 90¢ $1.2K — +$132

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $25K
    53% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $1.0K sold
  2. Yes lost
    $22K
    47% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $2.6K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 19, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed