Scratchy-Loading
0x8597ca63e722d6216bfc3057591fdc67ec49daee
Scratchy-Loading: +$1.4K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 44%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$1.4K
return +18.0%
Settled bets
3
$7.5K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 44%–100%
Mostly bets on
crypto
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$237
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- +$1.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | SELL No
@ 95¢
Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31? |
Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31? | $1.9K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Yes
@ 61¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | $3.2K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 84¢
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? |
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | $2.7K |
| Oct 2 | BUY Yes
@ 93¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $1.9K |
| Sep 30 | BUY Yes
@ 93¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $6.5K |
| Sep 24 | BUY No
@ 64¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | $1.4K |
| Sep 24 | BUY No
@ 70¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | $2.4K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Yes
@ 79¢
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30? |
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30? | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.