Polymarket market · Other

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

6 whales traded $52K on this market since Oct 15, 97% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 88 seconds later would have cost 1.7¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

In the live feed

Polymarket whale bets
BUY $9.8K
bought Yes @ 98¢ → now 98¢ (+$11)
Single-Air · 9 settled bets · +$787 Too few bets

The whales on this market

6 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Dental-Liquid
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 94¢ $22K —
Single-Air
9 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 98¢ $9.8K —
Sardonic-Lentil
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 91¢ $7.8K —
Personal-Bake
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 91¢ $5.4K —
Blaring-Surge
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 97¢ $5.2K —
0xf958…238c
no settled record
No @ 10¢ $1.7K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes
    $50K
    97% of whale buying · 5 buyers
  2. No
    $1.7K
    3% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 15 to Oct 19, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792393220).

About this data · run 1792393220, computed 2026-10-19 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792393220 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed