Polymarket market · Other

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 5star (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A

Resolved: 5star won · See it on Polymarket ↗

9 whales put $55K into this market since Sep 9, 77% of their buying on Astralis. 5star won. Of the 8 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$11K and 5 lost −$39K: −$28K between them.

The whales on this market

9 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Rash-Barometer
375 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Astralis @ 91¢ $29K — −$29K
Delicious-Attacker
472 settled bets Worse than the odds
Astralis @ 92¢ $7.9K — +$792
Scary-Edible
1,378 settled bets Can't tell from luck
5star @ 45¢ $5.9K — +$7.2K
Far-Off-Candidate
145 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Astralis @ 88¢ $5.0K — −$5.0K
Reasonable-Allocation
10 settled bets Too few bets
Astralis @ 68¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Chief-Effector
9 settled bets Too few bets
Astralis @ 68¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K
Unacceptable-Cone
14 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.3K —
Discrete-Century
83 settled bets Can't tell from luck
5star @ 29¢ $1.1K — +$2.7K
Bland-Tug
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Astralis @ 68¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Astralis lost
    $41K
    77% of whale buying · 5 buyers
  2. 5star won
    $11K
    20% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $1.3K sold
  3. Astralis lost
    $1.6K
    3% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 9 to Sep 10, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed