Chief-Effector

0x3f176a240c7b6c0e470bf150f43fc1c883de7035

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Chief-Effector: −$2.4K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 11% (95% range 2%–44%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$2.4K
return −56.6%
Settled bets
9
$4.2K staked
Won
11.1%
95% range 2%–44%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$754
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$1.6K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$3
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 8 SELL FaZe @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sangal (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sangal (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs $1.6K
Oct 6 SELL Solary @ 99.9¢
Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs Valerion (+2.5)
Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs Valerion (+2.5) $1.1K
Oct 5 SELL @ 99.63¢
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage AND LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage AND LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage $1.8K
Oct 3 BUY @ 68¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $1.5K
Sep 30 SELL @ 99.91¢
Dota 2: Level UP vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A AND Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A AND Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C AND Counter-Strike: Sangal vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #7 Playoffs
Dota 2: Level UP vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A AND Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A AND Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C AND Counter-Strike: Sangal vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #7 Playoffs $1.2K
Sep 10 BUY Astralis @ 68¢
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 5star (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 5star (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A $1.6K
Sep 2 BUY Estral Esports @ 61¢
Game Handicap: EST (-2.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (+2.5)
Game Handicap: EST (-2.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (+2.5) $1.1K
Sep 2 BUY SU Esports @ 64¢
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs SU Esports (BO5) - TCL Playoffs
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs SU Esports (BO5) - TCL Playoffs $1.4K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed