0x2f98…bd4c

0x2f983f2a36c462320331eff6901db9307d1abd4c

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

0x2f98…bd4c: +$5.6K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 30%–90%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$5.6K
return +31.5%
Settled bets
6
$18K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 30%–90%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$3.6K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$2.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 27 BUY Oregon @ 51¢
Spread: Oregon (-3.5)
Spread: Oregon (-3.5) $1.0K
Sep 27 BUY Oregon @ 51¢
Spread: Oregon (-3.5)
Spread: Oregon (-3.5) $1.0K
Sep 19 BUY Iowa State @ 48¢
Spread: Iowa State (-23.5)
Spread: Iowa State (-23.5) $5.9K
Sep 19 BUY Under @ 48¢
Bowling Green vs. Iowa State: O/U 43.5
Bowling Green vs. Iowa State: O/U 43.5 $2.9K
Sep 19 BUY Over @ 88¢
Buffalo vs. Penn State: O/U 33.5
Buffalo vs. Penn State: O/U 33.5 $1.3K
Sep 19 BUY Coastal Carolina @ 47¢
Spread: Delaware (-4.5)
Spread: Delaware (-4.5) $2.6K
Sep 12 BUY Texas @ 53¢
Ohio State vs. Texas
Ohio State vs. Texas $3.0K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed