Polymarket market · Other

Spread: BYU (-10.5)

Resolved: BYU won · See it on Polymarket ↗

7 whales put $59K into this market since Oct 9, 65% of their buying on Iowa State. BYU won. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$19K and 4 lost −$39K: −$20K between them.

The whales on this market

7 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds*
Iowa State @ 47¢ $18K — −$18K
Mountainous-Heat-Reservoir
120 settled bets Can't tell from luck
BYU @ 51¢ $13K — +$13K
Taut-Semicolon
181 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Iowa State @ 51¢ $13K — −$13K
Incomplete-Suppression-Theory
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
BYU @ 54¢ $6.2K — +$5.2K
Powerless-Savannah
2,455 settled bets Beat the odds*
Iowa State @ 47¢ $5.9K — −$5.9K
0xda39…c640
2 settled bets Too few bets
Iowa State @ 51¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Sinful-Motor
7 settled bets Too few bets
BYU @ 53¢ $1.2K — +$1.1K

Where the whale money went

  1. Iowa State lost
    $39K
    65% of whale buying · 4 buyers
  2. BYU won
    $21K
    35% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 9 to Oct 10, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed