Polymarket market · Other

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-05?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

9 whales put $174K into this market since Sep 1, 93% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$62K and 3 lost −$5.5K: +$56K between them.

The whales on this market

9 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Present-Grape-Drinking
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 70¢ $90K — +$40K
Courageous-Robin
67 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 71¢ $36K — +$15K
Vivid-Suggestion
10 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 71¢ $25K — −$1.6K
Kosher-Refuse
275 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 67¢ $7.6K — +$3.7K
Wan-Flash
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 68¢ $5.0K — +$2.4K
Spiteful-Equal
13 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 68¢ $2.0K $2.9K +$925
Imaginative-River
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 98¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Productive-Utility
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 29¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Sugary-Cradle
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 67¢ $1.7K — +$832

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $159K
    93% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $2.9K sold
  2. No lost
    $10K
    6% of whale buying · 2 buyers
  3. Yes lost
    $2.0K
    1% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 1 to Sep 5, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed