Polymarket market · Crypto
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 19?
Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗
6 whales traded $62K on this market since Oct 19, 100% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.0¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 100% of the whale buying on it. Of the 6 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$92 and 1 lost −$20: +$72 between them. Biggest win: Nervous-Overload, +$72 on Yes. Biggest loss: All-Peasant-Drug, −$20 on Yes.
The whales on this market
6 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All-Peasant-Drug
1,006 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Yes @ 99.7¢ | $14K | $12K | −$20 |
| Nervous-Overload
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 99.7¢ | $24K | — | +$72 |
| Prudent-Punishment-Incubation
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 99.9¢ | $8.0K | — | +$8 |
| Enraged-Philosopher
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 99.7¢ | $2.0K | — | +$6 |
| Windy-Academics
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 99.7¢ | $1.1K | — | +$3 |
| Stupendous-Rowing-Sentencing
7 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 99.7¢ | $1.1K | — | +$3 |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes won$50K100% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $12K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 19, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792479640).
More crypto markets the whales bet on
All Crypto →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | $159K | 17 | Open | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | $147K | 23 | Open | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | $142K | 20 | Open | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? | $74K | 14 | Open | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | $50K | 10 | Open | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | $140K | 28 | Open | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | $69K | 7 | Open | |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | $58K | 10 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?