Stupendous-Rowing-Sentencing

0x7b0d506fc152eead5c9817695e9133aaf31c1584

Skill vs luck

Stupendous-Rowing-Sentencing on Polymarket: 7 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 65%–100%) · profit +$35. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −6.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 20, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “Stupendous-Rowing-Sentencing: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 20, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x7b0d506fc152eead5c9817695e9133aaf31c1584. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Stupendous-Rowing-Sentencing: +$35 on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 65%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit

+$35

return +0.5%

Settled bets

$7.3K staked

Won

100.0%

95% range 65%–100%

Mostly bets on

crypto

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period

Aug 20 – Sep 4: +$20
Sep 19 – Oct 4: +$5
Oct 4 – Oct 20: +$10

Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.

Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −6.5% (1,973 positions).

Latest captured bets

When	Bet	Market	Size
Oct 19	BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 19?	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 19? ↗	$1.1K
Oct 14	BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 14?	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 14?	$1.0K
Oct 7	BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 7?	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 7?	$1.0K
Oct 6	BUY No @ 99.8¢ Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 6?	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 6?	$1.0K
Oct 1	BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 1?	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 1?	$1.0K
Sep 22	BUY No @ 99.6¢ Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 22?	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 22?	$1.0K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?

About this data · run 1792479640, computed 2026-10-20 07:00 UTC

Source: hopium_compute run 1792479640 (PG metrics_*)

Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
latest window has the most unresolved markets
Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed