Enraged-Philosopher

0x1b1ce864caa2b8ff0a26eaa71c3838f9ebc1dd4c

Skill vs luck

Enraged-Philosopher on Polymarket: 9 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 70%–100%) · profit +$42. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −6.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 20, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “Enraged-Philosopher: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 20, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x1b1ce864caa2b8ff0a26eaa71c3838f9ebc1dd4c. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Enraged-Philosopher: +$42 on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 70%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$42
return +0.3%
Settled bets
9
$17K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 70%–100%
Mostly bets on
crypto

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$6
Sep 4 – Sep 19
+$13
Sep 19 – Oct 4
+$8
Oct 4 – Oct 20
+$16
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −6.5% (1,973 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 19 BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 19? ↗ $2.0K
Oct 15 BUY Yes @ 99.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 16?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 16? $2.0K
Oct 7 BUY Yes @ 99.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 7?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 7? $2.0K
Oct 1 BUY Yes @ 99.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 2?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 2? $2.0K
Sep 24 BUY Yes @ 99.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24? $1.9K
Sep 17 BUY Yes @ 99.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17? $1.5K
Sep 8 BUY Yes @ 99.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 8?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 8? $1.4K
Sep 6 BUY Yes @ 99.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 6?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 6? $1.9K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1792479640, computed 2026-10-20 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792479640 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed