Polymarket market · Sports

US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Frances Tiafoe

Resolved: Frances Tiafoe won · See it on Polymarket ↗

12 whales put $92K into this market since Sep 4, 89% of their buying on Frances Tiafoe. Frances Tiafoe won. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 9 made +$8.0K and 2 lost −$8.3K: −$323 between them.

The whales on this market

12 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Illustrious-Budget
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Frances Tiafoe @ 93¢ $19K — +$1.5K
Grave-Coconut
198 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Frances Tiafoe @ 99¢ $14K — +$154
Usable-Manufacturing
54 settled bets Worse than the odds
Frances Tiafoe @ 82¢ $12K — +$2.6K
Cavernous-Undershirt
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Frances Tiafoe @ 95¢ $5.5K $5.7K +$243
Overcooked-Enthusiasm
16 settled bets Beat the odds*
sold only $0 $8.1K —
Distant-Pomelo
127 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Frances Tiafoe @ 88¢ $7.8K — +$1.1K
Anchored-Grit
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Frances Tiafoe @ 65¢ $3.0K $4.7K +$1.6K
Glaring-Salt
1,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Valentin Vacherot @ 37¢ $5.3K — −$5.3K
Ajar-Thief-Rooster
83 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Valentin Vacherot @ 11¢ $3.0K — −$3.0K
Spherical-God-Factory
7 settled bets Too few bets
Frances Tiafoe @ 88¢ $1.7K — +$225
Impractical-Convenience-Messy
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Frances Tiafoe @ 92¢ $1.1K — +$98
Horrible-Subroutine
47 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Frances Tiafoe @ 64¢ $1.0K — +$562

Where the whale money went

  1. Frances Tiafoe won
    $65K
    89% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $10K sold
  2. Valentin Vacherot lost
    $8.3K
    11% of whale buying · 2 buyers
  3. Frances Tiafoe lost
    $0
    0% of whale buying · 0 buyers · $8.1K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 4 to Sep 5, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed