Spherical-God-Factory

0xbbc8ea68c7204c363701811d35554e7ce8bc52a8

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Spherical-God-Factory: −$4.2K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 29% (95% range 8%–64%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$4.2K
return −68.5%
Settled bets
7
$6.1K staked
Won
28.6%
95% range 8%–64%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$354
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$4.5K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 5 BUY Celtic FC @ 47¢
Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)
Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5) $1.3K
Sep 5 SELL Yes @ 49¢
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-09-05?
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-09-05? $1.3K
Sep 5 BUY Frances Tiafoe @ 88¢
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Frances Tiafoe
US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Frances Tiafoe $1.7K
Sep 5 SELL Tomas Etcheverry @ 99¢
US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Mariano Navone
US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Mariano Navone $1.7K
Sep 4 BUY Daniel Merida Aguilar @ 38¢
US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar $2.1K
Sep 2 BUY Sorana Cirstea @ 75¢
US Open WTA: Diane Parry vs Sorana Cirstea
US Open WTA: Diane Parry vs Sorana Cirstea $1.1K
Sep 2 SELL Leylah Fernandez @ 99.9¢
US Open WTA: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Leylah Fernandez
US Open WTA: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Leylah Fernandez $1.1K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed