Sleepy-Love-Optimisation
0xd6a81087c62be689a0ec4303462d84deaff3dca2
Sleepy-Love-Optimisation: −$435 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 10%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$435
return −10.0%
Settled bets
6
$4.3K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 10%–70%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Oct 2 – Oct 17
- −$435
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.7%
(2,007 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | BUY Juan Manuel La Serna
@ 85¢
Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli |
Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli | $1.5K |
| Oct 16 | SELL Karsiyaka
@ 99.9¢
Karsiyaka vs. Cayirova |
Karsiyaka vs. Cayirova | $1.1K |
| Oct 16 | SELL Marco Trungelliti @ 52¢ | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Francesco Passaro ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 16 | BUY Marco Trungelliti @ 91¢ | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Francesco Passaro ↗ | $1.8K |
| Oct 14 | SELL Francisco Comesana
@ 97¢
Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Felipe Meligeni Alves |
Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Felipe Meligeni Alves | $1.3K |
| Oct 14 | SELL Dominic Stephan Stricker
@ 99.9¢
Roanne: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Philip Henning |
Roanne: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Philip Henning | $1.0K |
| Oct 13 | BUY Franco Roncadelli
@ 89¢
Santa Cruz 2: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli |
Santa Cruz 2: Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli | $1.0K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.