Polymarket market · Sports

Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell

Resolved: Ilia Simakin won · See it on Polymarket ↗

8 whales put $54K into this market since Sep 12, 52% of their buying on Max Purcell. Ilia Simakin won. Of the 8 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$9.3K and 4 lost −$19K: −$9.3K between them.

The whales on this market

8 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Snappy-Basketball
282 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ilia Simakin @ 71¢ $13K $18K +$5.2K
All-Peasant-Drug
891 settled bets Worse than the odds
Max Purcell @ 54¢ $14K — −$14K
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,072 settled bets Beat the odds*
Max Purcell @ 54¢ $2.4K — −$2.4K
Scornful-Gym-Retreat
175 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ilia Simakin @ 49¢ $2.0K — +$2.1K
Lustrous-Tassel-Equivalent
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ilia Simakin @ 44¢ $1.3K — +$1.7K
Courteous-Advertisement
3 settled bets Too few bets
Max Purcell @ 56¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Far-Off-Candidate
145 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ilia Simakin @ 75¢ $1.2K — +$398
Glaring-Salt
1,604 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Max Purcell @ 54¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K

Where the whale money went

  1. Max Purcell lost
    $19K
    52% of whale buying · 4 buyers
  2. Ilia Simakin won
    $17K
    48% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $18K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 12, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed