Impartial-Greens-Hydrolyse
Skill vs luck
Impartial-Greens-Hydrolyse on Polymarket: 7 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–35%) · profit −$2.6K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Impartial-Greens-Hydrolyse: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x72d30b678808d981a293f532f134ff4340e6a3aa. Data CC BY 4.0.
Impartial-Greens-Hydrolyse: −$2.6K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–35%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 22 – Oct 8
- −$922
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- −$1.7K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Gustavo Heide @ 43¢ | Cali: Gustavo Heide vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 24 | SELL Valerio Aboian
@ 86¢
Cali: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Valerio Aboian |
Cali: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Valerio Aboian | $1.1K |
| Oct 24 | SELL Tallon Griekspoor
@ 99.9¢
European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tallon Griekspoor |
European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tallon Griekspoor | $1.2K |
| Oct 24 | SELL Jacob Fearnley
@ 80¢
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta |
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta | $1.3K |
| Oct 23 | SELL Lorenzo Musetti
@ 99.9¢
Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti |
Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti | $2.8K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Pedro Martinez
@ 66¢
Villena: August Holmgren vs Pedro Martinez |
Villena: August Holmgren vs Pedro Martinez | $1.1K |
| Oct 1 | SELL Matteo Berrettini @ 82¢ | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Matteo Berrettini ↗ | $1.7K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?