Polymarket market · Sports

US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech

Resolved: Daniil Medvedev won · See it on Polymarket ↗

8 whales put $98K into this market since Sep 4, 78% of their buying on Daniil Medvedev. Daniil Medvedev won. Of the 5 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$25K and 2 lost −$15K: +$9.2K between them.

The whales on this market

8 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Threadbare-Skunk
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Daniil Medvedev @ 74¢ $65K — +$23K
Glaring-Salt
1,604 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arthur Rinderknech @ 28¢ $13K — −$13K
Gummy-Principle
3 settled bets Too few bets
Daniil Medvedev @ 73¢ $3.9K $5.4K —
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,484 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Daniil Medvedev @ 75¢ $4.0K — +$1.4K
Fake-Cloakroom
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arthur Rinderknech @ 28¢ $2.2K — −$2.2K
Flamboyant-Pamphlet
6 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.0K —
Frozen-Birdwatcher
80 settled bets Worse than the odds
Daniil Medvedev @ 99.9¢ $1.5K — +$2
Knowledgeable-Peertopeer
23 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Daniil Medvedev won
    $70K
    78% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $8.6K sold
  2. Arthur Rinderknech lost
    $15K
    17% of whale buying · 2 buyers
  3. Daniil Medvedev lost
    $3.9K
    4% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 4, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
US Open WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Diana Shnaider $81K 15 Won: Taylor Townsend
Manacor: Edas Butvilas vs Luca Potenza $64K 8 Won: Luca Potenza
US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez $54K 13 Won: Jessica Pegula
US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul $98K 18 Won: Tommy Paul
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-09-04? $86K 7 Won: No
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz $104K 13 Won: Carlos Alcaraz
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04? $247K 33 Won: Yes
US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova $140K 25 Won: Emma Navarro
About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed