Flamboyant-Pamphlet

0xa8b8b7d86175f5918d40d8b282649a8da5f936dd

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Flamboyant-Pamphlet: −$2.6K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 10%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$2.6K
return −45.1%
Settled bets
6
$5.8K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 10%–70%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$2.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 4 BUY No @ 74¢
Will New York City FC vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?
Will New York City FC vs. Nashville SC end in a draw? $1.1K
Sep 4 BUY No @ 74¢
Will New York City FC vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?
Will New York City FC vs. Nashville SC end in a draw? $1.9K
Sep 4 SELL Daniil Medvedev @ 99.9¢
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech $2.0K
Sep 3 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-02?
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-02? $1.3K
Aug 30 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-30?
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-30? $1.8K
Aug 30 BUY Yes @ 90¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-30?
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-30? $1.6K
Aug 29 BUY No @ 86¢
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-29?
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-29? $1.2K
Aug 27 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27?
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27? $3.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed