Polymarket market · Sports
US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Arthur Gea
Resolved: Arthur Gea won · See it on Polymarket ↗
13 whales put $94K into this market since Aug 31, 59% of their buying on Juan Manuel Cerundolo. Arthur Gea won. Of the 8 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$13K and 4 lost −$21K: −$8.6K between them.
The whales on this market
13 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Criminal-Meatball
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $32K | — |
| Sparse-Outset
327 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 71¢ | $15K | — | −$15K |
| Shameful-Delay
119 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 77¢ | $5.9K | $4.9K | −$986 |
| Glaring-Salt
1,604 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Arthur Gea @ 52¢ | $6.7K | — | +$588 |
| Overcooked-Enthusiasm
16 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Arthur Gea @ 53¢ | $5.3K | — | +$4.7K |
| Slow-Escape
336 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Arthur Gea @ 57¢ | $5.1K | — | +$3.9K |
| Tinted-Text
169 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Arthur Gea @ 57¢ | $4.7K | — | +$3.6K |
| Specific-Operating
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Arthur Gea @ 56¢ | $1.3K | $2.3K | — |
| Punctual-Battleship
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 67¢ | $3.1K | — | −$3.1K |
| Glorious-Sparrow
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.1K | — |
| Upright-Folklore-Distribution
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 51¢ | $2.3K | — | −$2.3K |
| 0xd4c2…1e3a
10 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.8K | — |
| Twin-Livestock-Camper
32 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Juan Manuel Cerundolo lost$29K59% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $5.9K sold
-
Arthur Gea won$20K41% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $4.9K sold
-
Arthur Gea lost$00% of whale buying · 0 buyers · $34K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 31 to Sep 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1791710133).